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Technology Lag By: Dennis Hayes R&D Engineer
Any newfound novel idea brings skepticism, and the more change it brings, the more skepticism
there is. Many spoke out against computers in their early stages, now they are an integral part of our technology. Many doubted
we could reach the moon, but these changes took place in a short time. The Industrial Age brought mass production and electrical
service, which led to the spread of electrical appliances. New appliances fueled the expansion for yet more advances. The
radio, television and computer, the toaster, oven and microwave, the automobile, airplanes, space shuttle. The magic lies
in the fact that as Buckminster Fuller once said "The better technology gets the more it disappears". An accelerative thrust
in every area, except housing. We have been building homes the same way for 100 years. The way the kitchen was designed 50
years ago was about modularity not about efficiency. It wasn't about how people actually use it, which explains why we bruise
our shins on the open oven door, or can't find the pot in the cupboard over the fridge, or can’t even reach it. Homes
haven’t progressed because we haven’t advanced past Post and Beam construction techniques. They’ve just
added more closet space and a bigger garage, since we have more clothes than our grandfathers did and another car for our
liberated spouses. Why such a lag in this field? Market Demand, It creates Technology Lag.
Architects and designers take their cue from the market. If you open any home magazine you see houses inspired
by the Colonials of 400 years ago, Cape Cods, Tudors, Split levels, Ranches etc. All Post & Beam construction. Housing
has become traditional. It’s a life-style, it’s nostalgic it’s what people choose, but what choices have
they had?
Since 1929, when architect-inventor Buckminster Fuller stunned the world with his alien looking geodesic
dome, planners and dreamers have had grand designs for the future, but there are no obvious answers. The need seems more pressing
than ever: What will the house of the future look like? Ask a homeowner to conjure up the home of the future and the results
are likely to be sleek, smart, sophisticated or in the images of the Jetsons’ sky pad. OK, maybe you plan on parking
the futuristic moeller-400 skycar in the garage. In a world in which Bill Gates' Techno-Mansion is a reality, a home that
thinks and cooks for you is here today. As anyone who owns a PC or DVD knows, the footprint is in place. The next few years,
homes could be all the things they are not yet: smart, green, efficient and flexible, meeting the demands of the increasingly
diverse family. All the technologies are available to us today, all we have to do is apply them, and be able to afford them.
There is now a design revolution in progress. Building concepts are changing. What it is becoming has many
names, sustainable, livable, ecological, green. No matter what label you use, the goal of these is to employ building techniques
that nourish rather than deplete resources. These earth-conscious concepts encourage green building and lifestyle habits,
which adhere to the United Nations definition of sustainable: "Meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability
of future generations to meet their needs." Consumers are becoming more sensitive to the way their homes are built and operate.
With the publics growing desire for an environment different than the conventional one, new product technologies are emerging
to embrace these needs without compromising quality, durability or efficiency.
Sustainable and green building are not new concepts; but they have languished, until now. The roots of the current movement
for sustainable living sprouted from the 1960s in theory and the 1970s in practice. The 60’s brought "hippies" and the
"back to nature movement" communes. The "intentional communities." The 70s brought the Arab oil embargo, energy tax breaks
and the first attempt at building sustainable communities, solar energy technologies, though cost prohibitive then because
of the technology lag. Several recent developments have made possible what was once only a fad for tree-huggers and land lovers.
SIP panels which have a 58% higher R-value, only use 25% of the wood, cost less are stronger and are erected faster are increasingly
being used today.
Architects and designers are already projecting their visions: Roof tiles that look like shingles and function
like solar panels. A living room that morphs into a dining room with an interactive wide-screen TV that lets you sit down
to dinner with your brother in Canada. The house of the future will be like having a servant. With an automatic, whiz-bang,
digitally controlled voice activated environment, you make a wish and your wish comes true. The only thing you have to do
is pay for it.
Clearly, the wealthiest consumers lead the way.
The kitchen of the future will look a lot like the kitchen of the past. Physically, it will become more the heart of the
house, even more of a social room, a living room with a preparation area attached. The more time families spend in the kitchen,
juggling eating and extracurricular activities, the more they demand appliances that are sophisticated, quiet and efficient.
Some of it has already arrived. Dish washers that clean with sonic blasts, non-electric garbage disposals. "DishDrawers" with
two drawers that can operate separately. Dishwashers that can sense the amount of food soil in the water and automatically
adjusts wash cycles. Washing machines that use 40 percent less water. Refrigerators that use electronics (instead of the standard
mercury bulb and trap door) to control temperatures. Bar code technology has evolved to give us smart pantries and refrigerators
that know when you're out of something and will automatically order it. Other appliances will get smarter, too, talking you
through a recipe and correcting your errors. It’s like the car that tells you your door is ajar. Instead, the oven will
tell you, No you don't put the turkey in for 20 hours, or bake brownies for two hours at 600 degrees.
The folks already swapping their VCRs for DVD’s and contemplating voice-recognition systems for their home PCs will
be the first to invest in the smart and the self-sustaining. The house of the future will be shaped, by the middle-class that
has always adapted ideas from up-market. We designers can dream up anything and already have. I attended a seminar in Kansas
City this summer on LONWORKS interoperabilty device technology. (Isn’t that a mouthful)? Systems that can turn on your
lights, sprinklers, start your microwave etc., from a web browser while your at work, or check on the kids arrival home from
school through cameras and monitor your solar system for optimal efficiency. The first and most important application is in
energy management. Where LONTALK devices are mostly used in high–rise building management to conserve BTU’s by
the millions. As energy prices rise building managers are beginning to take a hard look at these technologies. I have designed
machines for years for companies, just to shave seconds off a production cycle. Of course, such bells and whistles are still
fantasies to most of us, and how quickly future fantasies develop into reality depends on demands of the market and how quickly
technology can be simplified. It isn’t far away. The greatest obstacle is devising common standards so that all the
bells and all the whistles create something more than a cacophony. If I buy one thing from vendor A and another from vendor
B and can't link them up, then I don't have flexibility in the design. This concept is advancing and is referred to as "Open
System Technology".
Future homes will have to be more flexible to meet the needs of the 21st Century's families. With multiple
generations and any number of yours-mine-and-our kids living under one roof, it will have to be flexible to accommodate the reality of the new millennium: Living rooms and dining rooms have become
superfluous to our lives. They've become stage sets. They're for when someone important comes over; even then, no one uses
them. We have to rethink how to make interior spaces compensate for both. I envision a flexible home where private spaces
are compact and functional, and public spaces are open and adaptable. This works even in a small house if people are not required
to have an individual space for an individual function. Though the room's form will disappear, its function could be taken
over by a table that's large enough for Thanksgiving dinner but sits between the kitchen and the family room. Our homes and
our lives will no longer be compartmentalized; they will be comfortable and functional, not ceremonial. Free-form living allows
people to configure spaces to their needs. All this flexible space will demand more flexible attitudes. We've been stuck in
a static environment where, because of the way we built houses in the past, we had to respond to them rather than having them
respond to us. Our pyramid homes have that flexibility.
As 76 million baby boomers retire, and 70 million Gen-Ys, start their own families; we'll see homes become more maintenance
free and energy efficient. They'll have more money to build on gadgets and gizmos. They'll want a home that's compact and
accommodates their needs. Flexibility will be the first step toward the future. Technology will add the sizzle. Just how smart
will the smart home be? Smart enough to talk you through a recipe? Smart enough to rival Bill Gates' Micro-mansion, where
microchip-IDs adjust a room's ambiance to its inhabitants' needs? A major surge of new applications will hit the market in
the next few years. Thirty years ago the average home had:
1-1/2 baths, today 2-1/2 to 3.
8-foot ceilings, today ceilings soar to 11 feet high.
One car, one garage, one fireplace; now, the sky's the limit.
Only the rich had skylights; now those of modest means even demand them.
One radio, one TV, no remotes, computers palm pilots.
One telephone, no cells, answering machines faxes or computers.
No solar collectors or central air conditioners.
Don't expect anything as daring in the bathroom. The bath of the future will be just what you expect; a bathroom, but it
will become more efficient. The last 10 years water usage has dropped from 3.5 gallons per flush to 1.0 gallons, and toilets
could be even more efficient and quieter, winning the noise war. Don't laugh, in the middle of the night, you want the toilet
to be as quiet as possible. Expect it to be the most luxurious room of the house, a lavish mini-spa with steam-sauna and Stair-Master,
large enough to hold a crowd. Why not build a bath you can throw a party in? Bath-as-public-space dates back to the ancient
Greeks and Romans. It's only in American post-World War II, suburban development that social spaces were moved to the closet.
The shift of bathroom and kitchen as entertainment are measured by the number of products in it, sinks, tubs, toilets, appliances,
etc. that work as part of the furniture. The master suite and kitchen will become more open and interchanged. It depends on
thinking about the rooms more as space and less as a bunch of fixtures, and what will hold all these whiz-bang, future house
wonders in place? Don’t expect the Jetsons’ skypad, the exterior will not be the Cape, Colonial, Split or Ranch
you're sitting in now. I believe it will be the simplest geometric form the pyramid. "Less is more". What the marketplace
demands is not the same forms we’ve been stuck with for the last century. Doubt it? Even in the more-is-more '80s, futuristic
behemoths never represented more than a sliver of the housing market. We are answering those demands and offering an option,
NOW. Anyone trying to change the traditional image of the home will find it difficult, I am finding that introducing the public
to a new concept of housing is a monumental task, but so was Vietnam and what we are now facing. We are now giving you a choice;
it’s up to you to decide your future path. The energy and resource crises that face us will demand more efficiency in
the future, and in the next decade that's not likely to change. The one thing you can count on is that things will change
and people will be reluctant to it, but market demand dictates necessity, and the economics of design, and Mother Nature dictates
necessity.Arbelos Pyramid homes offer the homeowner the ability to reduce building and living costs, and generate the economic
ability to afford the technologies that are here today, not twenty years from now. How soon will your future be here? The
future starts NOW. Clearly the wealthiest consumers lead the way in technology lag.
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